Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf396…3f9f
crypto · 114 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$10 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses49 / 63
Open positions1
Markets (closed)112 / 114
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 112 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$11
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 44¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +1.5% -8.1% 44% 42% -5.6%
≤30d 112 +0.8% -8.8% 44% 42% -5.9%
≤90d 112 +0.8% -8.8% 44% 42% -5.9%
all 112 +0.8% -8.8% 44% 42% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 42% -5.9%
10% -17.5% 42% -14.9%
15% -25.5% 41% -23.1%
20% -32.8% 41% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.17 · official $1.02 · 180 history records