Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf37e…2709
crypto · 465 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$22 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$125
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses249 / 209
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)458 / 465
History coverage19d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day147.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 7 History 458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? No 83¢ 100¢ $35 $42 +$7 (+21%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 85¢ 86¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
United States leading at halftime? No 66¢ 66¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
CA Nacional Potosí vs. CD Real Tomayapo: Both Teams to Score Yes 82¢ 50¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-39%)
Brazil leading at halftime? No 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 69¢ 69¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $25 +$6 +25%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $15 +$2 +12%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +29%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$39
sports 9% −$6
other 8% +$38
world 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 22m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 69¢ $5 31m
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 87¢ $5 41m
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 95¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 85¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY No 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $5 2h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $5 2h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 87¢ $5 4h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 +4.2% -5.7% 74% 59% -6.7%
≤30d 458 -0.9% -10.3% 54% 43% -9.9%
≤90d 458 -0.9% -10.3% 54% 43% -9.9%
all 458 -0.9% -10.3% 54% 43% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 43% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 29% -18.5%
15% -26.7% 16% -26.4%
20% -33.9% 10% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.71 · official $124.71 (match) · 3301 history records