Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F3 0xf37e…6e99 crypto 241 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$963 (+6%) realized +$963 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%125W / 116L
Drawdown77%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day118.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$132
7 days+$301
14 days+$411
30 days+$411
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$411
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (119 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 52% -7.1%
≤30d 241 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 52% -7.2%
≤90d 241 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 52% -7.2%
all 241 -3.0% -12.2% 52% 52% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 52% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 52% -16.1%
15% -28.3% 51% -24.2%
20% -35.3% 49% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$64 vs −$65 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$963
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses125 / 116
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage10d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day118.9
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 241 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$9 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $72 +$66 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$10 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $66 +$23 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$16 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$15 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$149 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$70 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$71 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$76 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$77 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$51 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$51 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$49 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$51 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$33 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$51 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$43 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$43 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $16 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $18 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $17 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1375 history records