Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:07:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F3 0xf37d…293e crypto 141 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$43 (-2%) realized −$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate92%130W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day66.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 -0.8% -10.3% 92% 8% -11.8%
≤30d 141 -0.8% -10.3% 92% 8% -11.8%
≤90d 141 -0.8% -10.3% 92% 8% -11.8%
all 141 -0.8% -10.3% 92% 8% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 8% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 4% -20.2%
15% -26.7% 1% -27.9%
20% -33.9% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses130 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)141 / 141
History coverage2d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day66.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 141 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 282 history records