trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +299.8% | +261.7% | 100% | 100% | +261.7% |
| ≤30d | 37 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 30% | 27% | -6.2% |
| ≤90d | 37 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 30% | 27% | -6.2% |
| all | 37 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 30% | 27% | -6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.2% | 27% | -6.2% |
| 10% | -27.8% | 27% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -34.8% | 19% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -41.2% | 14% | -30.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $36 | +$105 | +293% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $46 | +$19 | +42% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $21 | +$15 | +70% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$12 | -57% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 20 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$26 | +510% |
| Spread: Morocco (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $30 | +$12 | +40% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $61 | +$14 | +22% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$2 | -15% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $4 | $0 | -11% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $26 | +$50 | +197% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $103 | +$27 | +26% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $36 | −$4 | -11% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $62 | −$5 | -8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $154 | +$9 | +6% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Jun 14 | $100 | −$16 | -16% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $71 | −$22 | -31% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $27 | +$35 | +132% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$1 | -6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | Jun 11 | $69 | −$31 | -45% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | Jun 10 | $30 | +$7 | +25% |