trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -27.9% | -34.8% | 43% | 43% | +2.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 38% | 38% | -14.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -61.6% | -65.2% | 24% | 24% | -49.2% |
| all | 31 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 42% | 42% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.2% | 42% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -36.9% | 42% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -43.0% | 39% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -48.6% | 32% | -41.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $25 | +$11 | +46% |
| Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +107% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential | Apr 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Cos | Apr 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? | Apr 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $10 | +$5 | +49% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | Feb 20 | $5 | +$6 | +122% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Feb 20 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 19 | $5 | −$2 | -39% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 19 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 18 | $5 | +$4 | +89% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 12 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $10 | +$12 | +117% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08? | Jan 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Jan 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jan 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08? | Jan 11 | $8 | +$10 | +127% |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | Dec 25 | $5 | +$3 | +51% |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Dec 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |