Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf357…10b6
crypto · 780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$384 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$385 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$385
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses750 / 29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)779 / 780
History coverage58d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day47.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 779 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$73
14 days−$86
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -1.3% -10.7% 96% 3% -10.8%
≤30d 650 -1.0% -10.4% 96% 4% -10.3%
≤90d 779 -0.7% -10.1% 96% 3% -10.7%
all 779 -0.7% -10.1% 96% 3% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 3% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -19.2%
15% -26.6% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.8% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.84 · official $24.95 · 3500 history records