trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 67% | 33% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 67% | 33% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 67% | 33% | -9.2% |
| all | 10 | -39.7% | -45.5% | 40% | 20% | -49.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.5% | 20% | -49.4% |
| 10% | -50.7% | 10% | -54.2% |
| 15% | -55.4% | 10% | -58.6% |
| 20% | -59.8% | 10% | -62.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 18¢ | $60 | $92 | +$32 (+54%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | $70 | $80 | +$10 (+15%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $80 | $65 | −$14 (-18%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 3¢ | $14 | $33 | +$19 (+139%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31¢ | 24¢ | $31 | $24 | −$7 (-24%) |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $16 | $23 | +$7 (+44%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $21 | $22 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $13 | $16 | +$3 (+27%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $18 | $16 | −$2 (-11%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $12 | −$8 (-39%) |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10¢ | 1¢ | $68 | $9 | −$60 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | +$12 | +57% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $53 | +$9 | +17% |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Nov 30 | $144 | −$58 | -41% |
| Will Mexico win on 2025-11-18? | Nov 19 | $64 | −$62 | -97% |
| Will Jamaica win on 2025-11-18? | Nov 19 | $25 | −$18 | -72% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Nov 19 | $25 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | Nov 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16? | Nov 15 | $30 | $0 | +2% |