Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf33f…287d
sports · 63 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$119 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$88 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized+$88
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses51 / 10
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)61 / 63
History coverage226d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$68
14 days+$69
30 days+$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 80¢ $40 $44 +$4 (+9%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 65¢ 100¢ $19 $29 +$10 (+54%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Over 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $15 +$8 +50%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $25 +$10 +38%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $45 −$45 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $35 +$7 +20%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 +$24 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $55 +$5 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 +$6 +40%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $25 +$10 +40%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 +$4 +29%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $10 +$4 +38%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $13 +$2 +18%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $15 +$3 +17%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10 +$2 +23%
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $5 +$3 +60%
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10 +$2 +23%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $11 +$2 +18%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $15 +$3 +18%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $7 +$2 +31%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $10 +$3 +26%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $14 +$2 +14%
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $10 +$4 +42%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $15 +$2 +16%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $10 +$2 +17%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -99%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $6 +$2 +40%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $15 +$4 +27%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $8 +$2 +24%
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $6 +$5 +79%
CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $7 +$5 +70%
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $7 +$2 +29%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5 May 31 $11 +$2 +14%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 May 31 $10 −$6 -63%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $5 +$2 +40%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $8 +$3 +32%
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5 May 30 $11 +$2 +18%
IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 1.5 May 29 $5 +$1 +29%
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 May 29 $5 −$5 -99%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5 May 29 $5 −$4 -74%
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5 May 29 $10 +$1 +6%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 27 $5 −$5 -99%
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 May 25 $14 +$2 +14%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 May 24 $15 +$2 +14%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score May 23 $10 +$5 +46%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score May 23 $3 +$2 +65%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 May 23 $10 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$88
other 5% +$20
world 1% −$5
crypto 1% $0
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $40 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $19 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $45 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $15 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $25 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $15 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $35 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $50 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 70¢ $10 35h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $55 35h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $15 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $25 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 3d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 77¢ $15 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $13 3d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $10 3d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 85¢ $15 4d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $10 4d
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 62¢ $5 4d
IK Oddevold vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $10 4d
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $11 5d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $15 5d
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 79¢ $10 6d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 76¢ $7 6d
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $14 7d
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $8 7d
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $10 7d
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 86¢ $15 7d
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 85¢ $10 9d
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $10 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +79%
net ROI/market (all)+2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +24.6% +12.7% 96% 91% +4.8%
≤30d 55 +14.8% +3.9% 85% 82% +2.1%
≤90d 57 +10.8% +0.2% 82% 79% +1.0%
all 61 +13.0% +2.3% 84% 79% +1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.3% 79% +1.6%
10% -7.5% 57% -8.2%
15% -16.5% 34% -17.0%
20% -24.6% 15% -25.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.78 · official $72.78 (match) · 120 history records