trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 12 | -70.7% | -73.5% | 8% | 8% | -62.1% |
| all | 16 | -45.3% | -50.5% | 25% | 19% | -47.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -50.5% | 19% | -47.5% |
| 10% | -55.2% | 19% | -52.5% |
| 15% | -59.6% | 19% | -57.1% |
| 20% | -63.5% | 19% | -61.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $3,362 | $3,122 | −$240 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5 | May 08 | $94 | −$92 | -98% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | May 05 | $6,004 | −$2,633 | -44% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 08 | $1,700 | +$1,769 | +104% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Mar 26 | $4,000 | −$1,774 | -44% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | Mar 26 | $660 | −$660 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Mar 24 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Mar 23 | $1,033 | −$1,033 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 23 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Mar 23 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Mar 23 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Mar 23 | $1,210 | −$713 | -59% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Mar 23 | $2,878 | −$1,840 | -64% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Mar 14 | $1,500 | +$2,329 | +155% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Mar 14 | $2,447 | −$2,447 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Mar 10 | $781 | +$35 | +4% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | Mar 08 | $1,000 | +$637 | +64% |