Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf33d…80e1
crypto · 1135 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$114 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$114 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1109 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1134 / 1135
History coverage15d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day76.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$44
14 days−$129
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$104
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $30 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $30 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 258 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 1% -10.1%
≤30d 1134 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.8%
≤90d 1134 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.8%
all 1134 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 1% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2244 history records