Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf332…ffa2
weather · 1008 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$966 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$940 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$940
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses285 / 684
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions38
Markets (closed)969 / 1008
History coverage89d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 38 History 969 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days+$50
14 days−$136
30 days−$535
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 42¢ 54¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 32¢ 59¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+84%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches? Yes 14¢ 11¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-21%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-31%)
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-31%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Ivory 68¢ 50¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-27%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 27¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-31%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150? Yes 33¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 73¢ 12¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas Jun 12 $2 +$2 +84%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $2 +$13 +649%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 +$24 +786%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 +$9 +442%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 11 $67 −$67 -100%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $3 +$8 +271%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 10 $11 +$52 +460%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $3 +$5 +160%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $3 −$1 -32%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $54 +$119 +220%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? Jun 09 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $8 $0 -3%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $5 $0 -7%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $5 $0 -6%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats Jun 09 $3 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 28% −$429
world 20% −$149
politics 14% −$102
weather 14% −$146
sports 10% −$8
crypto 5% −$70
finance 4% −$20
tech 3% −$54
economics 2% −$21
culture 0% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas SELL cincai team 99¢ $4 18m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 32¢ $2 50m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 27¢ $2 51m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL MARKandLARRY 100¢ $15 57m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 57m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 58m
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast BUY Ivory 68¢ $2 2h
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeas BUY cincai team 53¢ $2 2h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day (BO3) - The Internati BUY Seize the day 7¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY MARKandLARRY 13¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European BUY against All authority 6¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 33¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 18¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-36.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -10.9% -19.4% 25% 24% +2.0%
≤30d 566 -31.1% -37.7% 28% 24% -28.0%
≤90d 969 -30.0% -36.6% 29% 25% -26.7%
all 969 -30.0% -36.6% 29% 25% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.6% 25% -26.7%
10% ← realistic here -42.7% 22% -33.7%
15% -48.2% 17% -40.1%
20% -53.3% 13% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.55 · official $72.56 · 2435 history records