Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:21:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
F3 0xf32e…1c25 crypto 9 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$38 (+10%) realized +$38 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate100%9W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day9.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +10.7% +0.1% 100% 33% +0.5%
≤30d 9 +10.7% +0.1% 100% 33% +0.5%
≤90d 9 +10.7% +0.1% 100% 33% +0.5%
all 9 +10.7% +0.1% 100% 33% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.1% 33% +0.5%
10% -9.5% 0% -9.2%
15% -18.2% 0% -17.9%
20% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 37% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +11% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses9 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 9 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $56 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $67 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $45 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $35 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $55 +$8 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $67 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $39 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $45 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $18 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $35 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $21 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $55 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 19 history records