Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:21:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf32c…7485
crypto · 1235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$409 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$205 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$205
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses726 / 509
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1235 / 1235
History coverage26d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day101.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1235 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$11
14 days+$390
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$87 +686%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 05 $20 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $52 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 05 $44 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 05 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$11 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$9 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $31 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$25 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 05 $6 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 05 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $13 −$6 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$3 -54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$3 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 05 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$3 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$205
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -40.8% -46.4% 11% 11% +1.0%
≤30d 1235 -6.6% -15.5% 59% 45% -10.8%
≤90d 1235 -6.6% -15.5% 59% 45% -10.8%
all 1235 -6.6% -15.5% 59% 45% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 45% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 32% -19.3%
15% -31.0% 21% -27.1%
20% -37.7% 13% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records