Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf325…f8e0
weather · 207 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$6,137 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,073 · open +$64
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,614
Realized+$6,073
Unrealized+$64
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses168 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions3
Markets (closed)204 / 207
History coverage45d
Avg bet$765
Trades / day38.9
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$110
7 days−$194
14 days+$888
30 days+$2,250
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 88¢ 99¢ $704 $792 +$87 (+12%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $730 $745 +$15 (+2%)
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $115 $78 −$38 (-33%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 27¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 76¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 48¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 64¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 26¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $129 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $1,461 +$49 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $42 +$58 +136%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$27 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$48 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 +$48 +158%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $579 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $119 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $553 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $133 +$6 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $1,259 +$23 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $48 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $225 +$99 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? Jun 09 $1,030 +$23 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1,291 −$374 -29%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $34 −$27 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $728 +$55 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $569 +$250 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8? Jun 08 $97 +$2 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $43 −$43 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8? Jun 08 $34 −$33 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1,002 +$38 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $404 +$69 +17%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $38 −$38 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? Jun 07 $114 −$98 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6? Jun 06 $552 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $1,249 −$300 -24%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $243 +$7 +3%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $175 +$25 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6? Jun 06 $871 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1? Jun 01 $1,024 +$45 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31? May 31 $618 +$1,170 +189%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31? May 31 $1,199 −$181 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30? May 31 $634 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30? May 31 $1,034 +$30 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30? May 30 $720 −$18 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30? May 30 $1,070 +$67 +6%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $80 −$78 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $86 +$14 +16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $89 +$11 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 30? May 30 $454 +$24 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 30? May 30 $17 −$5 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29? May 29 $1,299 +$58 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 29? May 29 $224 +$9 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29? May 29 $111 +$346 +312%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 29 $85 +$15 +17%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $80 +$20 +24%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $88 +$12 +13%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $82 −$82 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 98% +$6,360
sports 2% −$243
other 1% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $41 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 92¢ $515 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 75¢ $151 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $120 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $126 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $486 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 27¢ $5 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 27¢ $23 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 42¢ $42 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $49 18h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $12 18h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $306 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $38 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $33 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $79 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $168 23h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $137 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $31 24h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $186 25h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $119 26h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $72 26h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $84 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $113 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $39 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $3 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $8 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 44h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $32 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -11.1% -19.6% 70% 20% -9.9%
≤30d 119 -1.8% -11.1% 76% 20% -6.0%
≤90d 204 -1.1% -10.5% 82% 17% -5.9%
all 204 -1.1% -10.5% 82% 17% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 17% -5.9%
10% -19.1% 10% -14.9%
15% ← realistic here -26.9% 7% -23.1%
20% -34.0% 4% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,614.30 · official $1,614.30 (match) · 1933 history records