Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:44:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F3 0xf323…4c32 crypto 451 markets active 6d ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$762 (+4%) realized +$762 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate53%237W / 214L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day131.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$49
14 days−$55
30 days−$706
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$707
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +4.7% -5.3% 59% 59% -8.3%
≤30d 451 -1.5% -10.9% 53% 45% -13.1%
≤90d 451 -1.5% -10.9% 53% 45% -13.1%
all 451 -1.5% -10.9% 53% 45% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 45% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 40% -21.4%
15% -27.2% 36% -29.0%
20% -34.4% 29% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$25 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$762
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses237 / 214
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)451 / 451
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$39
Trades / day131.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 451 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $400 −$284 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $482 −$152 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $254 +$128 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $57 +$62 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $331 +$228 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $185 +$86 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $238 +$173 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $378 −$370 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $179 +$61 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $303 +$112 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $404 +$70 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $237 +$206 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $63 +$33 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $303 +$326 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $103 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $62 +$32 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $80 −$38 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$21 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $57 −$27 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $45 −$36 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $55 −$24 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $292 −$49 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $684 +$117 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $423 −$35 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $113 −$92 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $61 −$58 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $49 −$44 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 08 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $16 +$24 +150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $40 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $37 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $29 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $27 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $22 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $22 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records