Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2eb…ef06
crypto · 86 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses23 / 63
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage63d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 31 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 31 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 14 $1 +$1 +105%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House May 14 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 07 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 07 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 07 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 07 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 06 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 06 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 06 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 06 $1 +$2 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 01 $1 +$3 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 01 $2 +$9 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 01 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 01 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 01 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 01 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$14
politics 2% $0
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -25.1% -32.2% 20% 20% -36.1%
≤30d 20 -42.9% -48.3% 20% 20% -52.6%
≤90d 86 -13.7% -22.0% 27% 27% -20.6%
all 86 -13.7% -22.0% 27% 27% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 27% -20.6%
10% -29.4% 27% -28.2%
15% -36.2% 26% -35.2%
20% -42.5% 26% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 167 history records