Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2e0…9319
crypto · 31 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$11 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses16 / 13
Open positions2
Markets (closed)29 / 31
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$12
other 10% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -11.3% -19.8% 55% 55% -24.8%
≤30d 29 -11.3% -19.8% 55% 55% -24.8%
≤90d 29 -11.3% -19.8% 55% 55% -24.8%
all 29 -11.3% -19.8% 55% 55% -24.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 55% -24.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 48% -32.0%
15% -34.5% 31% -38.6%
20% -40.9% 21% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.92 · official $4.92 (match) · 72 history records