Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2d5…bf38
crypto · 115 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$372 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$372 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$372
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses50 / 65
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)115 / 115
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day358.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$372
7 days−$372
14 days−$372
30 days−$372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $63 +$103 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $134 +$78 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $132 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$20 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$21 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $202 +$77 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$20 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$48 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$24 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$57 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$190 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$110 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$25 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$111 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$120 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$90 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$82 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$525
world 4% −$14
other 3% +$90
sports 2% +$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $166 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $212 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $134 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $22 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $15 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $132 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +4.3% -5.7% 43% 42% -14.1%
≤30d 115 +4.3% -5.7% 43% 42% -14.1%
≤90d 115 +4.3% -5.7% 43% 42% -14.1%
all 115 +4.3% -5.7% 43% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover358.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 42% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 37% -22.4%
15% -22.9% 25% -29.9%
20% -30.5% 22% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.68 · official $0.00 (match) · 592 history records