Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2be…e100
crypto · 660 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses389 / 271
Open positions0
Markets (closed)660 / 660
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day191.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 660 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$256
14 days−$66
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$5 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +39%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $43 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $17 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $34 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$66
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 -17.6% -25.4% 59% 26% -17.2%
≤30d 660 -0.6% -10.1% 59% 35% -11.2%
≤90d 660 -0.6% -10.1% 59% 35% -11.2%
all 660 -0.6% -10.1% 59% 35% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover191.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 35% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 29% -19.7%
15% -26.5% 19% -27.5%
20% -33.7% 11% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2027 history records