trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 9% | 0% | -25.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 9% | 0% | -25.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 9% | 0% | -25.4% |
| all | 11 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 9% | 0% | -25.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -36.1% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -42.2% | 0% | -32.5% |
| 15% | -47.8% | 0% | -39.1% |
| 20% | -52.9% | 0% | -45.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 64¢ | $45 | $53 | +$8 (+17%) |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 47¢ | 60¢ | $11 | $14 | +$3 (+30%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? | Yes | 45¢ | 15¢ | $10 | $3 | −$7 (-67%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $16 | −$10 | -59% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$2 | -23% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Jun 16 | $25 | −$8 | -31% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 16 | $27 | −$4 | -16% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 16 | $13 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 202 | Jun 16 | $19 | −$9 | -47% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 15 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 15 | $93 | −$6 | -7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 15 | $65 | −$10 | -15% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $74 | −$10 | -14% |