Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T18:29:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F2 0xf2b0…ab7d crypto 1506 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$228 (+1%) realized +$228 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate97%1463W / 43L
Drawdown22%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day63.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$118now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$34
14 days+$163
30 days+$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$208
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 422 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 6% -9.2%
≤30d 1506 +1.6% -8.1% 97% 8% -8.4%
≤90d 1506 +1.6% -8.1% 97% 8% -8.4%
all 1506 +1.6% -8.1% 97% 8% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 8% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 4% -17.2%
15% -24.9% 3% -25.2%
20% -32.3% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$8 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.58 per $1 lost it wins $1.58
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$118
Realized+$228
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1463 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1506 / 1506
History coverage25d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1506 Trades
no open positions (43 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $35 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $27 −$26 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 22 $21 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 22 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $34 +$6 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 22 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $19 −$18 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 22 $40 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $35 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $39 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $37 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $39 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $37 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $40 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $40 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $27 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $39 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.26 · official $118.26 (match) · 3023 history records