| Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+? |
Jun 11 |
$2,848 |
+$143 |
+5% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May? |
Jun 10 |
$1,015 |
+$1,202 |
+118% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May? |
Jun 10 |
$1,671 |
+$1,381 |
+83% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–$3.25 in May? |
Jun 10 |
$87 |
+$4 |
+4% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.75 in May? |
Jun 10 |
$34 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Jun 05 |
$134 |
+$7 |
+5% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? |
Jun 02 |
$217 |
−$217 |
-100% |
| Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? |
Jun 02 |
$206 |
−$206 |
-100% |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
Jun 01 |
$76 |
+$24 |
+32% |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Cont |
Jun 01 |
$364 |
+$77 |
+21% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo |
May 28 |
$1,005 |
+$98 |
+10% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? |
May 28 |
$1,888 |
−$781 |
-41% |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
May 28 |
$2,028 |
−$1,805 |
-89% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control |
May 20 |
$933 |
−$870 |
-93% |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? |
May 20 |
$27 |
+$3 |
+13% |
| SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30? |
May 20 |
$4 |
$0 |
-4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
May 20 |
$1,031 |
−$948 |
-92% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? |
May 19 |
$631 |
−$550 |
-87% |
| Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? |
May 17 |
$599 |
−$298 |
-50% |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? |
May 17 |
$261 |
+$316 |
+121% |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliame |
May 15 |
$2,374 |
+$352 |
+15% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April? |
May 12 |
$142 |
+$27 |
+19% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April? |
May 12 |
$681 |
+$386 |
+57% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480? |
May 11 |
$1,531 |
−$117 |
-8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490? |
May 10 |
$1,005 |
−$325 |
-32% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? |
May 03 |
$51 |
+$39 |
+77% |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? |
Apr 30 |
$920 |
+$343 |
+37% |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? |
Apr 30 |
$493 |
+$1,007 |
+204% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Apr 29 |
$153 |
−$30 |
-19% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 |
Apr 29 |
$51 |
−$51 |
-100% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 FC Bayern München? |
Apr 29 |
$52 |
−$52 |
-100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? |
Apr 28 |
$440 |
−$7 |
-2% |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last E |
Apr 28 |
$89 |
−$1 |
-2% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
-82% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
-76% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
+43% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-82% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
-9% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.75 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$0 |
$0 |
+82% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.75 in April? |
Apr 28 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-72% |
| Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Contr |
Apr 28 |
$68 |
−$55 |
-81% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Contr |
Apr 28 |
$42 |
−$21 |
-51% |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Co |
Apr 28 |
$1,424 |
−$451 |
-32% |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parl |
Apr 27 |
$943 |
+$56 |
+6% |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Co |
Apr 14 |
$922 |
+$6 |
+1% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t |
Apr 13 |
$1,822 |
+$660 |
+36% |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian P |
Apr 12 |
$683 |
−$7 |
-1% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament |
Apr 12 |
$100 |
−$27 |
-27% |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? |
Apr 12 |
$141 |
−$11 |
-8% |
| Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? |
Apr 12 |
$1 |
$0 |
+0% |