Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:06:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2a3…ac1a
crypto · 509 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$491 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$491 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$491
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses240 / 269
Open positions0
Markets (closed)509 / 509
History coverage5d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day480.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 509 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$491
14 days−$491
30 days−$491
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$3 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$491
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 509 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 41% -14.1%
≤30d 509 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 41% -14.1%
≤90d 509 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 41% -14.1%
all 509 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 41% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover480.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 41% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 35% -22.4%
15% -31.5% 25% -29.9%
20% -38.2% 17% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2761 history records