Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf29e…1352
weather · 7 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$9 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)4 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? No 88¢ 90¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14? No 87¢ 77¢ $24 $21 −$3 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? No 87¢ 87¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$7 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +14.3% +3.4% 100% 50% +3.4%
≤30d 4 +14.3% +3.4% 100% 50% +3.4%
≤90d 4 +14.3% +3.4% 100% 50% +3.4%
all 4 +14.3% +3.4% 100% 50% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.4% 50% +3.4%
10% -6.5% 25% -6.5%
15% -15.6% 0% -15.5%
20% -23.8% 0% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.69 · official $67.69 (match) · 12 history records