trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +9.4% | -1.0% | 40% | 40% | +14.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +9.4% | -1.0% | 40% | 40% | +14.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -29.4% | -36.2% | 18% | 18% | -78.6% |
| all | 11 | -29.4% | -36.2% | 18% | 18% | -78.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.2% | 18% | -78.6% |
| 10% | -42.3% | 18% | -80.7% |
| 15% | -47.8% | 9% | -82.5% |
| 20% | -53.0% | 9% | -84.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $82 | +$136 | +167% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$10 | -50% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $40 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $222 | +$75 | +34% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar | Apr 11 | $2,727 | −$2,042 | -75% |
| Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Apr 11 | $399 | −$399 | -100% |
| Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Apr 10 | $163 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Apr 09 | $360 | −$360 | -100% |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this el | Apr 01 | $150 | −$74 | -49% |