Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:59:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf280…d801
sports · 259 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8,505 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,287 · open −$213
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,155
Realized+$7,287
Unrealized−$213
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses140 / 118
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$3,006
Open positions1
Markets (closed)258 / 259
History coverage31d
Avg bet$854
Trades / day85.8
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$1,880
14 days+$5,020
30 days+$6,377
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 98¢ 90¢ $2,368 $2,155 −$213 (-9%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,612 +$404 +7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $3,154 +$219 +7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $164 −$58 -35%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $310 +$189 +61%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $95 −$95 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 14 $136 +$152 +112%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $328 +$2 +0%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $495 −$178 -36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $303 +$138 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $353 +$146 +41%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $730 −$470 -64%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $202 −$202 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $51 −$40 -78%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $204 +$52 +26%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $340 +$60 +18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $325 +$174 +54%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $119 +$181 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $39 +$161 +414%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $8 +$5 +55%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $131 −$131 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $165 −$165 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $178 −$137 -76%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $144 −$26 -18%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $132 +$168 +127%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$110 +122%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $195 −$31 -16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $125 +$175 +140%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $47 −$47 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $134 −$134 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $204 −$4 -2%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $190 +$103 +54%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $203 −$203 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $577 +$422 +73%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 11 $600 −$600 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $59 −$59 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$7,899
other 1% −$739
crypto 0% −$43
tech 0% −$47
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1,870 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $2 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $2 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $2 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $2 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $5 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $25 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $77 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $39 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $9 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $337 11m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $205 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $13 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $378 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $853 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $200 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $50 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $1,653 16m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $559 17m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 75¢ $556 18m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $309 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $191 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $16 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $142 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $275 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $100 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $5 20m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 56¢ $933 21m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 45¢ $83 26m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 45¢ $0 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -17.9% -25.7% 45% 35% -5.4%
≤30d 249 -9.2% -17.8% 53% 33% -6.6%
≤90d 258 -8.3% -17.0% 54% 33% -6.4%
all 258 -8.3% -17.0% 54% 33% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 33% -6.4%
10% -25.0% 29% -15.4%
15% ← realistic here -32.2% 25% -23.6%
20% -38.9% 20% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,154.99 · official $2,154.99 (match) · 2847 history records