Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:43:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf27d…9a88
crypto · 738 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$766 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$766 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$766
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses168 / 679
Open positions1
Markets (closed)847 / 738
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1015.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 847 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,008
7 days−$766
14 days−$766
30 days−$766
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 5¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1011%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$177
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 847 -17.6% -25.4% 20% 17% -26.1%
≤30d 847 -17.6% -25.4% 20% 17% -26.1%
≤90d 847 -17.6% -25.4% 20% 17% -26.1%
all 847 -17.6% -25.4% 20% 17% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1015.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.4% 17% -26.1%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 15% -33.2%
15% -39.1% 13% -39.7%
20% -45.0% 12% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.30 · official $2.90 · 3500 history records