Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf277…cb2d
sports · 4 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$533 +254%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$537 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized+$537
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$537
7 days+$537
14 days+$537
30 days+$537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 18¢ 17¢ $80 $76 −$4 (-6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $82 +$182 +223%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $26 +$375 +1459%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$533
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 18¢ $82 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $264 36m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 30¢ $82 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $241 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 91¢ $159 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $26 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 16¢ $21 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+467.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +527.5% +467.7% 67% 67% +372.2%
≤30d 3 +527.5% +467.7% 67% 67% +372.2%
≤90d 3 +527.5% +467.7% 67% 67% +372.2%
all 3 +527.5% +467.7% 67% 67% +372.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +467.7% 67% +372.2%
10% +413.4% 67% +327.0%
15% +363.8% 67% +285.7%
20% +318.3% 67% +247.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.56 · official $75.56 (match) · 7 history records