Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf274…2819
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$223 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$223 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses97 / 114
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 211
History coverage25d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$161
7 days−$195
14 days−$198
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$28 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$21 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$9 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $28 −$27 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$10 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$222
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $29 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $13 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $29 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $13 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 -18.4% -26.2% 45% 45% -26.3%
≤30d 211 -20.0% -27.6% 46% 44% -24.5%
≤90d 211 -20.0% -27.6% 46% 44% -24.5%
all 211 -20.0% -27.6% 46% 44% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.6% 44% -24.5%
10% -34.6% 41% -31.7%
15% -40.9% 40% -38.3%
20% -46.7% 39% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 380 history records