Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf273…3b0d
sports · 15 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses4 / 10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)14 / 15
History coverage168d
Avg bet$837
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R Jun 12 $9,990 $0 -0%
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) May 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 Feb 16 $5 +$2 +47%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? Feb 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Feb 03 $1 $0 +41%
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? Jan 28 $4 +$1 +33%
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jan 12 $401 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jan 12 $402 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jan 10 $269 $0 -0%
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jan 10 $269 $0 -0%
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jan 01 $338 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 01 $339 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Dec 26 $260 $0 -0%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Dec 26 $261 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 80% $0
sports 13% +$4
politics 5% −$1
other 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $332 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $667 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R SELL No 100¢ $999 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R BUY No 100¢ $999 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) BUY FK Bodø/Glimt 67¢ $5 114d
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 68¢ $5 119d
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 135d
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Santos FC end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $1 135d
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? BUY No 75¢ $4 139d
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL No 100¢ $401 151d
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? BUY No 100¢ $401 151d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 1 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 2 +24.6% +12.8% 50% 50% -9.5%
all 14 +5.0% -5.0% 29% 29% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.0% 29% -9.5%
10% -14.1% 29% -18.2%
15% -22.4% 21% -26.1%
20% -30.0% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.98 (match) · 50 history records