Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F2 0xf26d…8c2b crypto 897 markets active 3d ago coverage 48d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$33 (+0%) realized +$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate47%425W / 476L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day53.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$36
14 days−$60
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 -4.1% -13.3% 55% 2% -10.6%
≤30d 825 -1.2% -10.6% 48% 20% -10.1%
≤90d 901 -0.7% -10.1% 47% 20% -10.0%
all 901 -0.7% -10.1% 47% 20% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 20% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 2% -18.6%
15% -26.6% 1% -26.5%
20% -33.8% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses425 / 476
Open positions0
Markets (closed)901 / 897
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day53.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 901 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$5 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records