Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf25d…689b
crypto · 803 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$134 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$134 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses678 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)803 / 803
History coverage38d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 803 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$10
14 days+$1
30 days−$332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +0.9% -8.7% 89% 32% -8.5%
≤30d 534 -5.9% -14.8% 77% 44% -14.8%
≤90d 803 +0.9% -8.7% 84% 45% -8.7%
all 803 +0.9% -8.7% 84% 45% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 45% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 24% -17.4%
15% -25.4% 14% -25.4%
20% -32.7% 8% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records