Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf259…7592
finance · 268 markets active 20h ago
1.5score
+$10,953 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,953 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,953
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses87 / 181
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)268 / 268
Avg bet$192
Trades / day27.3
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 268 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days−$29
14 days+$1,705
30 days+$3,771
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19? Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 29? Up 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Down 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12? Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26? Down 1¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Down 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4? Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19? Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13? Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? Down 1¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21? Up 1¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29? Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 29? Up 2¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19? Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? Up 0¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1? Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28? Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2? Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13? Down 1¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $196 +$53 +27%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $243 +$63 +26%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $7 +$33 +472%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $99 −$43 -43%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $64 −$15 -24%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $138 −$44 -32%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $12 −$10 -81%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $4 −$1 -27%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $50 +$19 +38%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $12 −$3 -25%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $37 −$21 -56%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $24 −$23 -97%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $183 −$7 -4%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $179 +$19 +10%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $11 −$11 -96%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -99%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +92%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $916 +$2,011 +219%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $486 −$170 -35%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $23 −$23 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $4 −$4 -96%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $15 −$15 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $20 −$20 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $8 +$2 +22%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28? May 28 $214 +$95 +44%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $247 −$146 -59%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $73 −$5 -8%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $17 −$17 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $84 −$3 -4%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $38 +$12 +32%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $228 +$505 +221%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20? May 20 $15 −$11 -72%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $17 −$16 -93%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $0 $0 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $50 −$17 -33%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $7 −$2 -26%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $34 +$1 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18? May 19 $119 +$882 +739%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? May 18 $33 +$68 +206%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18? May 18 $49 +$280 +565%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15? May 15 $46 −$44 -96%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15? May 15 $55 −$41 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 91% +$11,784
other 6% −$357
tech 2% −$157
crypto 1% −$228
sports 0% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 1¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 1¢ $0 19h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 0¢ $0 19h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 1¢ $2 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 1¢ $6 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 10¢ $111 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 10¢ $0 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 10¢ $0 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $20 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $1 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $0 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $13 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $13 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $0 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $0 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 5¢ $13 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? SELL Down 10¢ $69 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 3¢ $2 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $12 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $2 21h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $2 21h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $1 21h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $3 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $6 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $3 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $8 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $1 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $0 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $22 22h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 2¢ $0 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +117.6% +96.9% 29% 29% -10.0%
≤30d 56 +137.2% +114.7% 32% 30% +121.2%
≤90d 175 +30.9% +18.4% 28% 24% +19.8%
all 268 +18.2% +6.9% 32% 27% +10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.9% 27% +10.6%
10% ← realistic here -3.3% 21% +0.0%
15% -12.7% 16% -9.6%
20% -21.2% 13% -18.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records