trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -84% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -39% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -26% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -13% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -28% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +31% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 27% | 19% | -25.0% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 27% | 19% | -25.0% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 27% | 19% | -25.0% |
| all | 26 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 27% | 19% | -25.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.5% | 19% | -25.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -32.6% | 8% | -32.2% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 4% | -38.7% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 4% | -44.7% |