Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf247…e269
crypto · 1565 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$985 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$985 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$985
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses804 / 759
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1563 / 1565
History coverage108d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1563 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$207
14 days−$193
30 days−$301
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$16 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin Jun 13 $25 −$13 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$10 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$997
sports 4% +$25
economics 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $24 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 205 -17.9% -25.7% 45% 45% -21.2%
≤30d 1418 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 51% -10.1%
≤90d 1418 -3.6% -12.8% 52% 51% -10.1%
all 1563 -4.0% -13.2% 51% 51% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 51% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 49% -21.1%
15% -29.1% 45% -28.8%
20% -36.0% 40% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $5.70 · 3500 history records