Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:06:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf242…9e61
sports · 101 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$61 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses37 / 64
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)101 / 101
History coverage84d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$4
14 days+$2
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Vici Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: D family vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs D family 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner L1ga Team 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Aurora 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs LGD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs LGD Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier Tundra Esports 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Spirit 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Aurora 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Enjoy 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier Team Liquid 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs FaZe 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$3 +324%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$1 +36%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$1 +57%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 +$1 +22%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$3 +129%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $1 +$3 +307%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1 +$1 +119%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $2 −$2 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Cl Jun 03 $1 +$2 +165%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Dota 2: D family vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asi Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $6 +$4 +65%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 +$3 +124%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $4 −$4 -98%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $13 +$3 +20%
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $11 +$10 +91%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $3 −$3 -98%
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $14 +$9 +64%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner May 23 $5 +$3 +52%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 23 $5 +$1 +21%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $2 +$10 +474%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $6 +$7 +133%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner May 21 $3 −$3 -98%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner May 21 $1 +$1 +76%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $2 +$2 +93%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 20 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$59
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 53¢ $4 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 12¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 18¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 14¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 14¢ $2 9h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 4¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 24¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 52¢ $2 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 5¢ $1 2d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 13¢ $2 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 13¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Yandex 73¢ $3 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 63¢ $2 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 48¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 60¢ $4 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 62¢ $2 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 43¢ $2 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 55¢ $2 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 24¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Yandex 45¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 35¢ $2 9d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 35¢ $2 9d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner BUY Aurora 45¢ $1 9d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner BUY Aurora 73¢ $2 9d
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 63¢ $1 9d
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Cl BUY L1ga Team 37¢ $1 10d
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner BUY L1ga Team 48¢ $2 10d
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Enjoy 58¢ $1 10d
Dota 2: D family vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asi BUY D family 48¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +13.9% +3.1% 58% 50% +6.9%
≤30d 57 +25.4% +13.5% 44% 42% -14.4%
≤90d 101 +0.2% -9.4% 37% 35% -26.3%
all 101 +0.2% -9.4% 37% 35% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 35% -26.3%
10% -18.1% 32% -33.3%
15% -26.0% 29% -39.8%
20% -33.2% 27% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 260 history records