Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf235…366d
crypto · 1704 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,147 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,154 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$2,154
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses930 / 493
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1423 / 1704
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day486.6
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 1423 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$214
7 days+$2,154
14 days+$2,154
30 days+$2,154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 60¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+17%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 53¢ 24¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$2,941
other 15% +$428
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 49m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 49m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1423 +25.0% +13.1% 65% 65% +23.5%
≤30d 1423 +25.0% +13.1% 65% 65% +23.5%
≤90d 1423 +25.0% +13.1% 65% 65% +23.5%
all 1423 +25.0% +13.1% 65% 65% +23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover486.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +13.1% 65% +23.5%
10% ← realistic here +2.3% 65% +11.7%
15% -7.6% 65% +0.9%
20% -16.7% 65% -9.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.44 · official $28.49 · 3500 history records