Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:51:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F2 0xf226…9c0f crypto 1574 markets active 4d ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (160 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,255 (-10%) realized −$1,255 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate73%1142W / 432L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day159.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$213
14 days−$359
30 days−$550
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$498
sports 0% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (160 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 -10.9% -19.4% 65% 54% -22.1%
≤30d 1574 -4.5% -13.6% 73% 61% -13.3%
≤90d 1574 -4.5% -13.6% 73% 61% -13.3%
all 1574 -4.5% -13.6% 73% 61% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 61% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 32% -21.6%
15% -29.4% 8% -29.2%
20% -36.3% 5% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,255
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1142 / 432
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1574 / 1574
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day159.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1574 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records