trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -25.8% | -32.8% | 50% | 33% | -19.9% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 52% | 33% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 52% | 33% | -6.6% |
| all | 21 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 52% | 33% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.2% | 33% | -6.6% |
| 10% | -25.2% | 33% | -15.5% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 24% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 19% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $14 | +$5 (+47%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+31%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Will Harry Kane win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 48¢ | $4 | $6 | +$2 (+60%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 40¢ | 30¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-26%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $26 | $0 | −$26 (-100%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$6 | +61% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +55% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $7 | −$6 | -77% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 13 | $56 | +$4 | +6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | Jun 07 | $47 | +$3 | +7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $21 | +$6 | +29% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | Jun 01 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 01 | $69 | +$17 | +26% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $10 | −$3 | -31% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 29 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | May 29 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $6 | +$3 | +57% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $3 | +$2 | +73% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $7 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23? | May 24 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |