Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:59:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf223…5ac3
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,045
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage99d
Avg bet$356
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $1,027 $1,027 −$1 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $20 $19 −$2 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 96% −$1
other 4% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $20 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $21 1h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 50¢ $1,027 99d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.5%
≤30d 1 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.5%
≤90d 1 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.5%
all 1 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 0% -14.5%
10% -22.6% 0% -22.6%
15% -30.1% 0% -30.1%
20% -37.0% 0% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,045.48 · official $1,045.48 (match) · 4 history records