Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf21b…7a51
crypto · 442 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$659 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$658 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$658
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses210 / 231
Open positions1
Markets (closed)441 / 442
History coverage13d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day55.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$525
14 days−$658
30 days−$658
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+322%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +187%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$158
world 25% −$500
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $0 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $0 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 -3.4% -12.6% 49% 47% -22.4%
≤30d 441 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 46% -19.1%
≤90d 441 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 46% -19.1%
all 441 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 46% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 46% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 45% -26.8%
15% -28.5% 44% -33.9%
20% -35.5% 44% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.10 · official $0.00 (match) · 986 history records