Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:43:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf21a…5f29
crypto · 928 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$161 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$161 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses532 / 471
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1003 / 928
History coverage17d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day165.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1003 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$99
7 days−$73
14 days−$122
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -395%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$40
sports 2% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $13 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 522 -15.8% -23.9% 53% 36% -15.2%
≤30d 1003 -11.4% -19.9% 53% 37% -15.7%
≤90d 1003 -11.4% -19.9% 53% 37% -15.7%
all 1003 -11.4% -19.9% 53% 37% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover165.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 37% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 26% -23.7%
15% -34.5% 17% -31.1%
20% -40.9% 12% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records