trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -17.9% | -25.7% | 0% | 0% | -21.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -41.6% | -47.2% | 25% | 12% | -48.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 42% | 8% | -17.9% |
| all | 12 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 42% | 8% | -17.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.7% | 8% | -17.9% |
| 10% | -40.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 15% | -45.8% | 0% | -33.0% |
| 20% | -51.1% | 0% | -39.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | No | 8¢ | 8¢ | $65 | $64 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Jun 17 | $39 | −$14 | -36% |
| Spread: Armenia (-2.5) | Jun 06 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $70 | +$7 | +10% |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Jun 02 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Jun 02 | $79 | +$10 | +12% |
| Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5) | May 30 | $79 | −$79 | -100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | May 30 | $50 | −$10 | -20% |
| Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5) | Apr 26 | $422 | +$17 | +4% |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $422 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: FC Porto (-2.5) | Apr 10 | $303 | +$22 | +7% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | Apr 09 | $290 | +$3 | +1% |