trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 25% | 0% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 29% | 0% | -12.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 29% | 0% | -12.8% |
| all | 25 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 40% | 8% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 8% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 8% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 4% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 4% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $29 | −$4 | -16% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $44 | −$3 | -6% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on June 17? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | -22% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 26 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 20 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14? | Mar 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ripple above $2.45 on March 14? | Mar 12 | $22 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 20 | Mar 12 | $18 | +$4 | +24% |
| Green Bay vs. Oakland | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04? | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| LSU vs. Kentucky | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Lightning | Mar 03 | $21 | −$3 | -16% |
| Eastern Washington vs. Montana | Mar 03 | $22 | −$1 | -2% |
| Kent State vs. Akron | Mar 03 | $14 | +$8 | +59% |