Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:36:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1ee…519c
sports · 354 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,198 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,571 · open −$658
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,843
Realized−$13,571
Unrealized−$658
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses178 / 308
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$1,240
Open positions17
Markets (closed)486 / 354
Avg bet$288
Trades / day530.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 17 History 486 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,068
7 days−$13,571
14 days−$13,571
30 days−$13,571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 83¢ 86¢ $1,168 $1,221 +$54 (+5%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 49¢ 26¢ $583 $318 −$264 (-45%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 49¢ 48¢ $243 $242 −$1 (-0%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B Ding Cuts 50¢ 20¢ $47 $18 −$28 (-61%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner GenOne 90¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner GenOne 0¢ 38¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 36¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage G2 Ares 34¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 43¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner G2 Ares 54¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 23¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 32¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 27¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner DXA Esports 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 40¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 34¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner MVK Esports 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 51¢ 0¢ $1,369 $0 −$1,369 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 55¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: DXA Esports vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner Masked Regime 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner KOLESIE 42¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $280 −$174 -62%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 12 $1,369 −$1,379 -101%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $95 −$96 -101%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$36 -94%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $177 −$167 -95%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $85 −$109 -127%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $85 −$100 -117%
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Play Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +157%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$9 -124%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Jun 12 $462 −$487 -106%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $1 −$6 -597%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $24 −$21 -90%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 −$145 -115%
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$35 -420%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $219 −$121 -55%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $32 +$18 +56%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $144 −$144 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Sta Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,329 −$905 -68%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,046 −$992 -95%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$10 -59%
CSKA Moscow vs. Unics Kazan Jun 12 $28 −$27 -98%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$2 -115%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Centurion 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$6 -35%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 12 $35 −$23 -65%
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 12 $43 −$46 -108%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Jun 12 $264 −$257 -97%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Uwinks vs New Meta (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Jun 12 $293 −$299 -102%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$9 -128%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $22 +$40 +182%
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 12 $33 +$196 +599%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group D Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: S Jun 12 $1,643 −$1,648 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$35 +202%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,678
other 1% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 50¢ $9 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 48¢ $49 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $48 0m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL MARKandLARRY 100¢ $40 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $57 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 46¢ $28 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 46¢ $9 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $24 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $10 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 45¢ $23 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $36 2m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 92¢ $74 2m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 89¢ $133 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 88¢ $195 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 88¢ $132 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 90¢ $226 3m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 87¢ $131 14m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 88¢ $31 22m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY DXA Esports 85¢ $7 24m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 73¢ $59 28m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 73¢ $45 28m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 73¢ $184 28m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 31¢ $2 29m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 66¢ $100 33m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 90¢ $6 34m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 50¢ $25 34m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 50¢ $26 34m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY MARKandLARRY 84¢ $34 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $21 47m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $179 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 486 +6.5% -3.7% 37% 33% -22.1%
≤30d 486 +6.5% -3.7% 37% 33% -22.1%
≤90d 486 +6.5% -3.7% 37% 33% -22.1%
all 486 +6.5% -3.7% 37% 33% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover530.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 33% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 28% -29.5%
15% -21.3% 21% -36.4%
20% -29.0% 17% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,843.29 · official $1,829.74 (match) · 3500 history records