trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +79.5% | +62.4% | 67% | 67% | +98.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +79.5% | +62.4% | 67% | 67% | +98.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +53.9% | +39.2% | 57% | 57% | +25.9% |
| all | 7 | +53.9% | +39.2% | 57% | 57% | +25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +39.2% | 57% | +25.9% |
| 10% | +25.9% | 57% | +13.9% |
| 15% | +13.7% | 57% | +2.9% |
| 20% | +2.6% | 57% | -7.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $1,000 | $850 | −$150 (-15%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $75 | $73 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $102 | +$114 | +112% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $96 | −$94 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $85 | +$192 | +226% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $99 | +$186 | +188% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 15 | $462 | +$693 | +150% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 04 | $518 | −$507 | -98% |