Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:28:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1c0…2fa8
crypto · 2254 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$478 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$494 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$494
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses1227 / 1021
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2248 / 2254
History coverage108d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 2248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$29
14 days−$20
30 days+$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 32¢ 18¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-42%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$30 +589%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$7 +65%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 +$11 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 01 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 01 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$523
sports 1% +$15
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 32¢ $10 8m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $35 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 14¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 23¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 28¢ $7 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $6 12h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 3¢ $1 12h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 4¢ $5 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 56¢ $6 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 5¢ $5 25h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 47h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $17 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $9 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 40¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -74.4% -76.9% 7% 7% -35.5%
≤30d 266 -6.8% -15.7% 51% 51% -1.9%
≤90d 1664 -0.8% -10.2% 55% 55% -6.2%
all 2248 -0.1% -9.6% 55% 55% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 55% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 54% -15.0%
15% -26.2% 54% -23.2%
20% -33.4% 50% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.85 · official $5.85 (match) · 3500 history records