Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1a3…0c69
sports · 1019 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21,064 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21,082 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$177
Realized−$21,082
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses721 / 288
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$279
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1009 / 1019
History coverage208d
Avg bet$173
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 10 History 1009 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$86
7 days+$111
14 days+$61
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $33 $30 −$3 (-10%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 69¢ 100¢ $15 $22 +$7 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 75¢ 100¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+33%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 36¢ 36¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner Fnatic 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-9.5) Magic 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season GIANTX 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Kiwoom DRX 77¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $30 +$4 +14%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +30%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 13 $30 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $58 −$16 -28%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $27 +$7 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $70 +$39 +56%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $4 +$8 +184%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $22 −$7 -29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $9 +$5 +50%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $154 +$18 +12%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $140 +$15 +11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 +$19 +135%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$4 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $100 +$14 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$4 +50%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$7 +73%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $18 −$1 -7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$8 +114%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$4 +18%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$7 +69%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14 −$14 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3 +$1 +49%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 +$7 +15%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $60 +$7 +12%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15 −$5 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$19,752
other 5% −$1,262
crypto 0% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 91¢ $34 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 1h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) SELL Morocco 86¢ $29 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 25¢ $13 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $14 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $34 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 13¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 39¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 39¢ $7 2h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Morocco 88¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 75¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 26¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 90¢ $78 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $49 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $19 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $27 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL TheMongolz 26¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 81¢ $18 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 29¢ $8 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 12¢ $12 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 72¢ $55 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 4¢ $4 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 43¢ $14 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +1.2% -8.5% 67% 64% -2.3%
≤30d 109 -4.9% -13.9% 63% 60% -8.8%
≤90d 677 -17.5% -25.4% 63% 36% -37.7%
all 1009 -8.0% -16.8% 71% 34% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 34% -20.4%
10% -24.7% 21% -28.0%
15% -32.0% 14% -35.0%
20% -38.7% 9% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $176.57 · official $176.57 (match) · 3500 history records