Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf18a…8b42
sports · 233 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses142 / 89
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)231 / 233
History coverage45d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$36
14 days−$29
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Panna Udvardy vs. Viktorija Golubic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Set Handicap: Udvardy (-1.5) vs Golubic (+1.5) Udvardy 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5) Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5) Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Raul Brancaccio vs. Roberto Carballes Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $39 +$1 +2%
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) Jun 12 $39 +$1 +4%
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) Jun 12 $44 +$1 +2%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Pedro Martinez vs. Felix Balshaw: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Balshaw (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) Jun 11 $34 +$1 +2%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Galan (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5) Jun 11 $21 $0 +1%
Panna Udvardy vs. Daria Snigur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5) Jun 11 $45 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Rincon (-1.5) vs Blanch (+1.5) Jun 11 $27 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Coria (-1.5) vs Zapico (+1.5) Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Mimi Xu vs. Elizabeth Mandlik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $41 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Maneiro (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) Jun 10 $23 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5) Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Navarro (-1.5) vs McNally (+1.5) Jun 10 $31 $0 +1%
Marco Trungelliti vs. Pavel Kotov: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $40 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Volynets (-1.5) vs Sonmez (+1.5) Jun 09 $16 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Herbert (+1.5) Jun 08 $33 $0 +1%
Daria Kasatkina vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $33 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Jun 08 $48 +$2 +5%
Safiullin vs. Biryukov: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 06 $15 $0 +0%
Masarova vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 05 $55 $0 +1%
Oktiabreva vs. Kovackova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 05 $25 $0 +1%
Alisa Oktiabreva vs. Jana Kovackova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $25 $0 +1%
Donski vs. Duran: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 05 $33 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 04 $30 $0 +1%
Keaton Hance vs. Jamie Mackenzie: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $25 $0 +1%
Tena Lukas vs. Darja Semenistaja: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $35 $0 +1%
Ha-Eum Lee vs. Victoria Barros: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $25 $0 +1%
Radivojevic vs. Ristic: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 04 $33 +$2 +5%
Charo Esquiva vs. Nauhany Leme Da Silva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $25 $0 +1%
Esquiva vs. Silva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 03 $25 $0 +1%
Kovackova vs. Dorofeeva-Rybas: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 03 $25 $0 +1%
Zoldakova vs. Barros: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 03 $25 $0 +1%
Jana Kovackova vs. Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $25 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5) Jun 02 $30 $0 +1%
Nikola Bartunkova vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $27 $0 -0%
Mika Stojsavljevic vs. Emerson Jones: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $28 $0 -0%
Sapfo Sakellaridi vs. Sofia Costoulas: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $35 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5) Jun 01 $35 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5) May 31 $15 $0 +2%
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5 May 31 $20 $0 +2%
Svitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5 May 31 $2 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5) May 30 $35 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$36
crypto 1% −$3
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5) BUY Fritz 99¢ $50 1h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5) SELL Shimabukuro 100¢ $50 2h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5) BUY Shimabukuro 98¢ $49 18h
Raul Brancaccio vs. Roberto Carballes Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 98¢ $49 22h
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5) BUY Montgomery 99¢ $50 22h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) SELL Giron 100¢ $40 22h
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) SELL Raducanu 100¢ $41 23h
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 99¢ $41 24h
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) SELL Tomljanovic 100¢ $40 24h
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) SELL Borges 100¢ $45 24h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Maria 98¢ $49 26h
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) BUY Borges 98¢ $25 29h
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) BUY Borges 98¢ $20 29h
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) BUY Tomljanovic 97¢ $13 32h
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) BUY Tomljanovic 97¢ $15 32h
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) BUY Tomljanovic 94¢ $11 32h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) BUY Giron 98¢ $25 32h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) BUY Giron 97¢ $14 32h
Set Handicap: Balshaw (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) BUY Martinez 98¢ $34 46h
Pedro Martinez vs. Felix Balshaw: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $30 46h
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) SELL Duckworth 100¢ $40 2d
Set Handicap: Galan (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5) SELL Trungelliti 100¢ $21 2d
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) BUY Duckworth 99¢ $40 2d
Panna Udvardy vs. Daria Snigur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 SELL Over 2.5 100¢ $10 2d
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5) SELL Udvardy 100¢ $45 2d
Set Handicap: Galan (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5) BUY Trungelliti 99¢ $16 2d
Set Handicap: Rincon (-1.5) vs Blanch (+1.5) BUY Blanch 99¢ $27 2d
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5) BUY Udvardy 99¢ $45 2d
Set Handicap: Galan (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5) BUY Trungelliti 99¢ $5 2d
Set Handicap: Coria (-1.5) vs Zapico (+1.5) BUY Zapico 99¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -2.4% -11.7% 96% 0% -13.0%
≤30d 167 -9.6% -18.2% 60% 23% -11.7%
≤90d 231 -2.9% -12.1% 61% 32% -11.1%
all 231 -2.9% -12.1% 61% 32% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 32% -11.1%
10% -20.5% 29% -19.6%
15% -28.2% 24% -27.4%
20% -35.2% 21% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 502 history records